Punxsutawney Phil Pizza Party C & Under - E,F,S

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 1, 2020 at 1:45 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
2 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 34% 7%
3 CANNON Lira J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
3 FREDEN Matthew A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
5 TUIAKOV Danil 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
6 ROLOFF Katarina M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 21% 3%
7 SPATZ Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 50% 21% 4%
8 AVINASH Aditi 100% 99% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
9 ARMSTRONG Elijah 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% - -
10 JASSEM Mikayla E. 100% 99% 89% 66% 35% 12% 2% -
11 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1% -
12 BARLOW Jason P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
13 YOUNG Owen 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 5% -
14 GIRARD Emma 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 9% 1% -
15 YASUZAWA Abby 100% 29% 3% - - - - -
16 HARRIS Aidan 100% 100% 95% 76% 45% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.