January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, January 3, 2020 at 12:30 PM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
5 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
6 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
7 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
8 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
9 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
10 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
11 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
12 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
13 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
14 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 16%
15 LIU Cynthia 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
16 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
17 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
18 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
19 JING Alexandra 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
20 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
21 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 11%
22 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
23 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
24 JING Emily 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
25 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
26 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
27 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
28 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 2%
29 BOLDOR Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
30 CHEN Alyssa J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 10%
31 HAO Grace 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 4%
32 LEE Morgan A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
33 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
34 AHN Gabriella 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
35 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
36 LAFFEY Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
37 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
38 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
39 PARK Rowan M. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
40 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
41 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
42 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
42 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
44 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
45 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
45 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
47 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
47 LEE Alina 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
49 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
50 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
51 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
52 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
53 LEE Brianna J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
54 SEAL Julie T. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
55 REN Olivia Y. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
56 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
57 CHEN Jia P. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
58 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
59 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
60 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
62 FANG Sabrina 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
63 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
64 SUPERVILLE Zoe A. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
65 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
66 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 1%
67 VIQUEIRA Samantha M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
68 HE Fenghuan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
69 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
70 LI Phoebe J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
71 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
72 TANG Louise 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
73 MOLHO Sofia 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
74 LIAO Madeline M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
75 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
76 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
77 NOGUCHI Julia C. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
78 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
79 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 9%
80 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4%
81 QIAN Crystal 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
82 CHEN Shiuan-An Shannon 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
83 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
84 ABTIN Aryana V. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
85 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
85 LEVI Lea 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
87 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
88 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
89 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
89 SHI Haoqing 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
91 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
91 LO Ashley 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
93 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
94 GIANNESCHI Julia R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
95 YEH Marissa E. 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
96 MCDONALD Alexandra 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
97 KONG Olivia 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
98 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
99 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
100 CHEN Cynthia 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
101 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 99% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
102 LUU Shanon K. 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
103 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
104 KIM Rachael 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
105 CHO Taylor S. 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
106 ROSS Megan N. 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
106 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
108 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
109 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
110 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
111 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
112 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
113 AHN Isabella 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
114 JO Mia C. 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
115 OH Erin H. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
115 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
117 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
118 TALAVERA Daena 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
119 LOVELACE Kennedy C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
119 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
121 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
121 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
123 TONG Ophelia 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
124 CAO Arianna L. 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
124 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
126 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
127 JEWETT Jamie 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
127 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
129 SUSINI Anna K. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
130 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 35% 6% - - - -
131 MOON Elina C. 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
132 XU Christine 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
133 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
134 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
135 PRILUTSKY Sarah A. 100% 97% 79% 40% 11% 1%
136 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
137 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
138 GUO Kaitlyn S. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
139 CHO Cameron S. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
140 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
140 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
142 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
143 YANG Natalie 100% 76% 31% 5% - - -
144 MCGOFF Sofia D. 100% 29% 3% - - - -
145 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
146 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
146 HALL Velma 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
148 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
149 CHO Gracie L. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
150 CHON Sydney 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
151 TIAN Grace 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
152 MAURER Bridgette (Brie) (Bridgette) C. 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
153 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
154 RASO Sofia G. 100% 87% 55% 22% 6% 1% -
154 HE Xiangxin 100% 99% 85% 51% 19% 4% -
156 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
157 ATLURI Srija 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
158 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
159 CHON Samantha 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
160 NAVALTA Cassandra (Cassie) R. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
161 LEE Paulina 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
162 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
163 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
164 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
164 LOW Sharon J. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
166 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
167 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
168 MING YUE 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
169 LEE Madison 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
170 SHANG Andrea 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
171 WONG Allison M. 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.