January NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, January 4, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
2 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
3 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
3 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
5 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
6 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
7 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
8 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
9 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
10 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
11 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
12 CHRETIEN PAULINE 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 61% 34% 12% 2%
13 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
14 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 42% 19% 5% 1%
15 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 57% 28% 8% 1%
16 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 27% 10% 2% - -
17 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
18 WATRALL Christina 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
19 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
20 ANGEN Katie R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
21 TANNOUS Dominique (Dom) N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 58% 34% 15% 5% 1% - -
22 WANG Elizabeth 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
23 GUO ZI SHAN 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
24 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 54% 26% 7% 1%
25 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
26 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 35% 16% 5% 1% - - -
27 CHOI Lyla 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 43% 22% 9% 2% - - -
28 VIE Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
29 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 73% 47% 21% 6% 1%
30 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 60% 36% 17% 6% 1% - - -
31 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 52% 28% 11% 3% - -
32 LEE Hanna Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 83% 64% 40% 19% 6% 1% -
33 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 64% 40% 19% 6% 1% - -
34 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 65% 39% 16% 4% -
35 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 75% 52% 27% 10% 2% -
36 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 33% 11% 2%
37 ENO Megan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 82% 62% 37% 15% 4% -
37 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 75% 52% 28% 10% 3% - -
39 DIB Vanessa 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 68% 44% 21% 7% 2% - -
40 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 80% 56% 27% 7%
41 MO Victoria 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 10% 1%
42 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
43 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
44 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 31% 12% 3% - -
45 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
45 PARK Yoohyun (Sarah) 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 43% 21% 8% 2% - - -
47 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 49% 26% 10% 3% - - -
48 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 41% 20% 7% 2% - -
49 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
50 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
51 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 74% 53% 30% 13% 4% 1% -
52 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 51% 26% 9% 2% -
53 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
53 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 76% 53% 29% 12% 3% 1% - -
53 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 53% 27% 10% 3% - - -
56 RUEDA Rylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 57% 32% 13% 4% 1% -
57 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 86% 68% 44% 22% 7% 1% -
58 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 73% 46% 20% 5% 1%
59 HENDERSON Danielle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 83% 63% 39% 18% 5% 1% -
60 BUCUR Rebekah O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 44% 21% 7% 1% - -
61 PROVENZA Hannah G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 39% 16% 4% -
62 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 82% 62% 37% 17% 6% 1% - -
63 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 65% 40% 17% 5% 1% -
64 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - - -
65 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 66% 41% 19% 7% 2% - - -
66 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
67 DUWELIUS Quinn H. 100% 100% 96% 85% 65% 40% 19% 7% 2% - - - -
68 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 96% 84% 61% 35% 15% 5% 1% - - - -
69 BULAVKO Sonia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 91% 76% 53% 29% 11% 2% -
70 TAYLOR Audrey Y. 100% 100% 98% 93% 78% 55% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - -
71 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 56% 31% 13% 3% 1% -
72 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
73 GAO Emily L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 22% 7% 1% -
74 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 99% 95% 81% 57% 31% 13% 4% 1% - - - -
75 ZHU Chenxi (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 55% 31% 13% 4% 1% - -
75 HENRY Asha S. 100% 100% 97% 89% 70% 44% 21% 7% 2% - - - -
77 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 78% 57% 33% 14% 4% 1% - -
78 KOPECKY Lydia J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
79 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 52% 26% 9% 2% - - -
80 LIANG Jessica 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
80 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 66% 40% 18% 5% 1% -
82 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 45% 22% 7% 1% -
82 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 81% 60% 36% 16% 5% 1% - -
84 WALLACE Katherine C. 100% 100% 94% 77% 50% 24% 9% 2% - - - - -
85 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
86 JOBALIA Ria 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 16% 5% 1% - -
87 LEE Sumin 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
88 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 63% 38% 18% 6% 1% - -
89 QUINLAN Nicole P. 100% 100% 96% 84% 62% 36% 16% 5% 1% - - -
90 PLENTY Kenyata (Kenya) (Kenya) G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 29% 11% 2% -
91 JOHNSON Ryleigh E. 100% 93% 72% 41% 17% 5% 1% - - - - - -
92 LOMBARD Ella 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
93 KOKES Ava 100% 92% 69% 38% 15% 4% 1% - - - - - -
94 DIDONATO Gianina L. 100% 87% 58% 27% 9% 2% - - - - - - -
95 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 69% 43% 21% 7% 2% - - -
95 LIM Clarice 100% 100% 96% 86% 65% 40% 18% 6% 1% - - -
97 DOLGONOS Melanie 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 39% 17% 6% 1% - - - -
97 CAO Catherine H. 100% 98% 90% 71% 44% 21% 8% 2% - - - - -
99 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
100 GAO Aretha R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 21% 4%
101 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
102 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
103 YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L. 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
104 LONG Cindy 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
105 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
106 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
107 LANZMAN Anna B. 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 4% -
107 LUI Leanna M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
109 MOTON Mckenzie R. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
110 HASKEL Darby H. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
111 TAPIA Sandy 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
112 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
113 SCALA Emma 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
114 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
115 YOON Julia J. 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
116 BARRY Julia E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 32% 7%
117 GREGORY Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
118 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 8% 1%
119 WOLSTENHOLME-BRITT Samantha (Sam) G. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
119 LIVERANT Jordan S. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
119 DORVAL Anne-Marie 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
122 ZHANG Tina 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
123 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
124 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
125 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
126 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
127 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
127 KWON Athina 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
129 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
130 SMUK Daria A. 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
131 GU Sarah 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
132 KIM Natalie S. 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
132 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
134 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
135 LIU Christina A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
136 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
137 PHILLIPS Summer E. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
138 FENG Kelly L. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
139 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
140 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
141 NAVARRO Ava B. 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
142 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
142 VAN MARION Kirsten C. 100% 99% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
144 COBERT Helen G. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
145 PYO Yunice 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
146 KUNDU Anisha 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
147 PAPADOPOULOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
148 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
149 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
150 TIKHONOVA Julia 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
151 ROBERTSON Lily 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
152 KETKAR Mallika 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
153 LEE Caroline S. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
154 LANTIGUA Adda 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
155 LANDWEHR Helen B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
156 DICKINSON Alexandra P. 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
156 SU Nicole 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
158 WILEY Erica 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
159 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
160 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
160 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
162 BRILL Sophie 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
163 PROVANCE Amanda R. 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
164 LUKE Marielle J. 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 5% -
165 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
165 CHAN Paree A. 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
167 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
168 BEI Karen 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
169 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
170 LEE Olive 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
171 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
172 WEISS Talia L. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
173 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
173 BOOY Tamara L. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
175 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 90% 58% 23% 4% -
176 LORD Sarah-Eve 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
177 NI Emma 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
178 SOIN Anika A. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
178 MUCSI Anna M. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
180 LEE kyungmin 100% 100% 95% 79% 50% 20% 3%
181 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
181 MOHABIR Ariane 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
183 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
184 SHEN Stephanie 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
185 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 92% 65% 32% 10% 2% -
186 ZHANG Maya 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
187 WEISS Olivia 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
187 SAUL Nicole 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
187 KIM Diane E. 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
190 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
191 DESAI Meera P. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
192 BENATER Lauren 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
193 ASHER Valerie 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
194 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
194 PROVANCE Allison N. 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
196 VANDERLINDEN Mira 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
197 BOTNER Olivia 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
198 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
199 ERTAS Eileen 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.