January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, January 5, 2020 at 1:00 PM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69%
3 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
5 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
6 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
8 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
9 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
10 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
10 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
12 SPEAR Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
13 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
14 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
15 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
16 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
17 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
19 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
20 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
20 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
22 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 7%
23 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
24 RABINOWITZ Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
25 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
26 MENG Bolang B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
27 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
28 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
29 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
30 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
31 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
32 RICE Vaughn A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
33 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 31%
34 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
35 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
36 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
37 CAI Erwin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
38 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
39 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 37% 9%
40 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
41 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
42 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
43 CHENIER Marc-Olivier 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
44 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
45 ZU Kevin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
46 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
47 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
48 FLORES Gerardo (Gerardito) D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3%
49 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
50 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
51 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
52 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
53 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
53 WESTERN Rafael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
55 YANG Kevin S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
56 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
57 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
58 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
59 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 5%
59 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
61 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
62 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
63 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
64 DODRILL Grant 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
65 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
66 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
67 TONG Qilin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
68 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
69 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
70 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
71 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
72 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
73 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
74 SINGER Carson 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
75 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
76 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
77 MELLONE Carl (Carlo) J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
78 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
78 ZHOU Justin 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
80 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
81 STONE Ben 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
82 HU William 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
83 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
84 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
85 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 5% -
85 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
87 MICHELL Bailey 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
88 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
89 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
90 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
90 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
92 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
93 SCHINDLER Zachary (Milo) 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
93 QUAN Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
95 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
96 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
97 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
97 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
99 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
100 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
100 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
102 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
103 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23% 2%
104 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
105 QIU Le 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
106 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
107 KIM Sean G. 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
108 SMITH David C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
109 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
110 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
111 WOOD Elden S. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
112 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
113 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
114 RAMAN Easwer 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
115 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
116 LINSKY Matthew 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
117 DROZ Camden J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
118 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
119 LAI Adam J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
120 CHO Brandon 100% 91% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
121 WALTER Agoston O. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
122 YOUNG Nash 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
123 CAMPBELL Colin B. 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
124 TANG Alex Y. 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
125 LIN William 100% 94% 63% 20% 3% - -
126 BELSER Bryce S. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
127 YUAN Ronald I. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
128 PHILPOT Evan E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
129 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
130 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
131 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
132 CHAN Matthew 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
133 FLORES Peter D. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
134 JULIEN William A 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
135 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
136 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
137 GANTA Vijay 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
138 YANG Ziyi 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
139 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 79% 39% 12% 2% - -
140 WUN William 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
141 DEMAREST Iain 100% 99% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
142 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
143 WIND Nicky E. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
144 HARE John R. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
144 POPE Nico 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
144 FEENEY Sean 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
147 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
147 BAILEY Asher 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
149 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
150 SLAVIN Ben F. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
151 CHEN Brian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
152 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
153 ZHOU Kevin 100% 94% 58% 17% 2% - -
153 RAJA Arnav 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
155 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
156 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
157 LEE Kyle 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
158 MORREALE John 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
159 COTTER Liam 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
160 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
161 RAI Avin 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
162 TONG ZACHARY 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
163 HAN Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
164 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
165 XU Ryan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
166 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
167 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
168 LIU kelly 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
169 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
170 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
171 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
172 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
172 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
174 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
175 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
175 PAN Andrew W. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
175 LUO ZIRUI 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -
178 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
179 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
180 CHU Cameron 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
180 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
180 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
183 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
184 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% -
184 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
186 LIN John A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
187 NG Jonathan H. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
187 LASORSA Matthew 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
189 SHI Andrew 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6% -
189 BURR Tanner B. 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
191 RICH Jack 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
192 NOBLE Daniel 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
192 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
194 MURZYN III CJ 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
195 CHU Devin 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
195 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
195 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
198 LI Joshua L. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
198 REN Junming 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
200 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
201 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
202 BLAKEBOROUGH Alan D. 100% 37% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.