January NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, January 6, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
5 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
6 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
7 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
8 LEE Alina 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
9 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
10 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
11 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
12 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
13 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
14 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
15 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
16 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
17 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
18 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
19 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
20 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
21 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
22 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
22 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
24 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
25 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
26 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
27 LEVI Lea 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
28 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
29 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
30 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 HAO Grace 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
32 APELIAN Katherine 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
33 LEE Morgan A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
34 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
35 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
36 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
37 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
38 REN Olivia Y. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
39 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
40 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
41 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
42 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
43 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
44 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
45 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
46 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
47 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
48 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
49 TIAN Grace 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
50 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9%
51 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 99% 91% 64% 30% 7% 1%
52 MOLHO Sofia 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
53 CHON Samantha 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
53 CHO Cameron S. 100% 91% 61% 27% 6% 1% -
55 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
56 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
57 KIM Rachael 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
58 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
59 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
60 PRILUTSKY Sarah A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
61 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
62 KONG Olivia 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
63 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
64 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
65 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
66 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
67 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
68 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
69 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
70 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
71 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
72 LEE Paulina 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
73 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
74 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
75 NOGUCHI Julia C. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
76 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
77 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
78 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
79 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
80 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
81 MASSICK Laine 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
82 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
82 HE Xiangxin 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
84 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
85 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
86 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
87 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
88 LOW Sharon J. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
88 PERLMAN Talia 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
90 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
91 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 22% 2%
92 JO Mia C. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
93 OH Erin H. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
94 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 99% 85% 51% 19% 3% -
95 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
96 SUSINI Anna K. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
97 CHO Taylor S. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
98 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
99 ABTIN Aryana V. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
100 LI Phoebe J. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
101 AHN Isabella 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
102 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
103 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
104 CHEN Shiuan-An Shannon 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
105 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
106 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
107 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
108 NAVALTA Cassandra (Cassie) R. 100% 69% 14% 1% - - -
109 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
109 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
111 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
112 SHANG Andrea 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
113 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
114 HEISER Anna M. 100% 24% 3% - - - -
115 MCDONALD Alexandra 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
116 XU Christine 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
117 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
118 RASO Sofia G. 100% 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
119 LUU Shanon K. 100% 97% 56% 18% 3% - -
120 LO Ashley 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
121 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
121 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
123 AHN Gabriella 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
124 CHO Gracie L. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% -
125 TANG Louise 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
126 LEE Madison 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
126 HALL Velma 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
128 YEH Marissa E. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
129 ATLURI Srija 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
130 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
131 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
132 CHEN Cynthia 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
133 SCHATZ Erika J. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
134 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
134 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
136 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
137 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 91% 57% 22% 5% - -
138 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
139 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
140 CHON Sydney 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
141 GOZIEVA Saida 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
142 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
143 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
144 JING Emily 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
145 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
146 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
147 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
148 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
149 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
150 CRONIN Sophie L. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
150 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
152 MUZZI Jessica 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
153 RAILTON Chelsea O. 100% 49% 7% - - - -
153 SHI Haoqing 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
155 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
155 LABELLE Audreanne 100% 12% - - - - -
157 BECK Kelsey C. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.