The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Bay Cup at TFC: Y10, Y12, Y14 Foil

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 12:30 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
2 LING Eddie - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
3 DERRICK Blake - 3% 17% 37% 34% 11%
3 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 2% 14% 41% 42%
5 NICOLETTI Luca - - 3% 20% 51% 26%
6 YANG Charles - 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
7 YUE Jackson 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
8 CHUN Dashel 40% 44% 14% 2% -
9 KIM Daniel - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
10 SONG Matthew 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
11 GORDON William L. 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
12 TSAY Jordan - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
13 YEN Jordan - 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
14 NGAI Julian - 8% 31% 38% 19% 3%
15 CHEN Andrew 3% 26% 44% 24% 3%
16 ZHANG Graham 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
17 ZHOU Ryan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
18 HOM Logan 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
19 WILLEY Emerson - 2% 13% 38% 39% 8%
20 HE Bourne 4% 23% 41% 27% 5%
21 VAN DOREN Parker - 6% 24% 37% 26% 7%
22 PETROV Mikhail 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
23 ROSEN Benjamin 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
24 PAGE Hudson 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
25 CHEN David 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% -
26 CHANG Jonathan 3% 27% 45% 22% 3%
27 HE Ian 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
28 SHA Walter 90% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.