Boston Fencing Club ROC - Reg Opens 3/20

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 11, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
3 WU Alexander 100% 98% 86% 51% 13% 1%
5 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
6 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
7 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 15%
8 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
9 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
10 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
11 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 PAN Eric 100% 99% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
13 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 10%
14 LEE Daniel C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
15 SHA Yi Peng 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
16 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 4%
17 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 5%
18 HOWARD Michael 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
19 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% -
20 LI Eric 100% 99% 86% 44% 10% 1%
21 ZHAO Jesse 100% 79% 28% 4% - -
22 FU Yifan 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
23 QI Steve 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
24 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
25 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
26 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 48% 8% - - -
27 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
28 BAUMANN Gunnar 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
29 WANG Mason 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% - -
30 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% -
31 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.