Results of Y-10 Women's Épée - The Fencing Center SYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, November 19, 2021 at 11:30 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	HABEK Sophia	100%	99%	88%	54%	17%	2%
2	PEI Claire	100%	66%	14%	1%	< 1%
3	WU Jessica	100%	99%	91%	57%	14%	1%
3	XU Jessica	100%	96%	72%	28%	3%
5	HANKINS Morgan	100%	100%	99%	85%	41%
6	MANSUY Pearl	100%	100%	100%	99%	88%	40%
7	YOUSSEF Margaret	100%	98%	81%	43%	10%
8	MIYOSHI Kylie	100%	99%	87%	51%	11%
9	REN Ivanka	100%	100%	99%	88%	47%
10	YU Chloe	100%	94%	64%	26%	5%	-
11	APEL Elsa	100%	96%	76%	41%	12%	1%
12	LEE Noelle	100%	100%	99%	91%	63%	21%
13	HUANG Isabel	100%	96%	74%	39%	11%	1%
14	CHANG Allison	100%	84%	41%	9%	-
15	MA Isabelle	100%	82%	44%	13%	1%
16	ZHAO Emma	100%	99%	85%	42%	6%
17	ALI Maryum	100%	95%	60%	17%	1%
18	YU Xintong	100%	98%	83%	42%	6%
19	LE Alanna	100%	96%	72%	29%	4%
20	LIFE Bellneu	100%	58%	16%	2%	-	-
21	VIJAY Vaishnavi	100%	100%	97%	78%	36%	5%
22	WANG Grace	100%	97%	82%	50%	19%	3%
23	CHEN Zizhou	100%	98%	82%	43%	8%	-
24	WANG Nicole	100%	67%	22%	3%	-
25	ARULKUMAR Lashia	100%	97%	72%	27%	3%
26	ZHAO Ellie	100%	91%	57%	18%	2%	-
27	LIFE Bewinwin	100%	91%	61%	24%	4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

The Fencing Center SYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, November 19, 2021 at 11:30 AM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation