The Fencing Center SYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 4:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LEE Olivia	-	-	3%	17%	41%	39%
2	MUN Brianna K.	-	-	-	3%	15%	40%	42%
3	NGUYEN Jolie T.	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	26%
3	PHUKAN Indra	-	4%	19%	37%	31%	9%
5	SHARMA Sanvi	-	-	-	4%	22%	46%	28%
6	WANG Jessie	2%	16%	36%	32%	12%	2%
7	MARTYNOVA Diana	-	1%	8%	24%	36%	24%	6%
8	GUAN Isabella	2%	12%	30%	34%	19%	4%
9	PENG Marie	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	2%
10	WANG Angelina	-	2%	15%	36%	32%	12%	2%
11	GUO Luxi	1%	9%	26%	34%	23%	7%	1%
12	PACHECO Evangeline	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
13	LIN Ariel	4%	18%	35%	31%	12%	2%
13	CHUNG Penelope	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	6%
15	CAMAMA Tessa	1%	10%	28%	35%	21%	5%
16	CHANG Abigail	1%	11%	29%	35%	19%	5%	-
17	TUMANYAN Victoria	-	1%	9%	30%	43%	17%
18	KWON Genevie	1%	9%	27%	37%	22%	4%
19	CHIRASHNYA Mika	4%	22%	40%	27%	6%	-
20	YIN Gabriela	-	-	3%	18%	44%	35%
21	LEE Camilla	-	1%	7%	22%	36%	27%	7%
22	NAIR Supriya	-	-	2%	13%	35%	37%	13%
23	XU Celina	13%	44%	32%	9%	1%	-	-
24	WANG Victoria	1%	10%	28%	35%	21%	5%
25	LEE Megan	7%	25%	36%	24%	8%	1%	-
26	COHEN Shaina	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
27	MOLLINIER Anais	1%	8%	25%	36%	25%	6%
27	GERARDIN Audrey	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
29	BELFOR A Kate	1%	13%	35%	35%	14%	2%
30	DAYAL Saahira	4%	20%	35%	29%	11%	1%
31	CHEN Samantha	51%	37%	10%	1%	-	-
32	WANG Sara	1%	11%	34%	37%	15%	2%	-
33	YOUSSEF Caroline	16%	41%	33%	10%	1%	-
34	BENNETT Vienne	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
35	MULAGARI Swarasai	-	3%	15%	32%	33%	14%	1%
36	YOU Evelyn	1%	7%	27%	38%	22%	5%	-
37	MA Ashley	11%	33%	35%	17%	4%	-
38	SALISTRA Emilia	11%	32%	35%	18%	4%	-
39	MYERS Cal	11%	32%	35%	17%	4%	-	-
40	GARINEY tanvi	15%	36%	32%	13%	3%	-	-
41	SCHOR Madeleine	23%	43%	27%	7%	1%	-
42	BHATT Anisha	37%	41%	18%	4%	-	-
43	JAMES Ashley	48%	40%	11%	1%	-	-	-
44	WU Jalyn	19%	38%	29%	11%	2%	-	-
45	SCHOR Elisabeth	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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