Event Preview
October NACSunday, October 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4823 | 5181 - 4678 |
| 5 - 8 | 4482 | 4734 - 4305 |
| 9 - 16 | 4077 | 4273 - 3967 |
| 17 - 32 | 3831 | 4079 - 3686 |
| 33 - 64 | 3547 | 3686 - 3401 |
| 65 - 128 | 3150 | 3519 - 2825 |
| 129 - 160 | 2702 | 3556 - 2218 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.