Battle of the East

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, November 13, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Monroe 33 Tennis, Basketball and Sports Center - Monroe Township, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZENG Noah	-	-	2%	12%	31%	38%	17%
2	NOURELDIN Gabriel	-	1%	7%	28%	43%	21%
3	HUANG Ethan F.	-	-	3%	17%	45%	35%
3	NOBLE Colin	-	-	-	5%	23%	45%	27%
5	SHOMAN Zachary	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	26%
6	WU Wilmund	-	2%	12%	35%	42%	10%
7	VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil	-	3%	15%	34%	34%	12%	1%
8	YOU Jaden	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%
9	STERN Tobias	1%	13%	35%	37%	13%	1%
10	DENG Andrew	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	22%
11	FIELDS Matthew S.	-	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
12	PIWOWAR Alex	-	3%	20%	41%	29%	7%
13	HUANG Alex F.	-	-	-	5%	23%	46%	27%
14	GILSON Lucas B.	-	1%	7%	24%	37%	26%	7%
15	EPSTEIN Oliver D.	-	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
16	TANG Shu Hon	1%	14%	39%	34%	11%	1%
17	YEUNG Jerry	21%	43%	28%	7%	1%	-
18	KIM Matthew	-	-	5%	22%	43%	30%
19	BREKHMAN Eric	-	2%	13%	34%	38%	13%
20	BROU Inkosi	-	2%	10%	29%	40%	20%
21	WAXLER Seth B.	-	4%	20%	38%	30%	8%
22	OKEEFE Mitchell	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	12%
23	SHTEYN Mark	-	2%	16%	39%	34%	9%
24	GOLD Carter	3%	25%	41%	25%	6%	1%
25	SIMMONS John M.	2%	14%	34%	33%	15%	3%	-
26	SHI Erick	6%	27%	38%	22%	6%	1%	-
27	LEONARD Charles	3%	25%	42%	24%	5%	-
28	WANG Oscar	2%	20%	40%	29%	8%	1%
29	DEKA Tanush	-	5%	22%	38%	26%	7%	1%
30	BOMBONATI Alberto	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%
31	IDRISSI Idris	-	4%	19%	38%	30%	8%
32	CHENG Hong	51%	40%	9%	1%	-	-
33	GOLDMAN Robert	11%	35%	35%	16%	3%	-
34	WONG Caleb W.	10%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-
35	TIAGI Daniel	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-	-
36	LASKOW Oliver	31%	44%	21%	4%	-	-	-
37	XIA Eric	15%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-
38	DAI Gary	18%	49%	27%	6%	1%	-
39	ONG Chinli	8%	36%	37%	16%	3%	-	-
40	WAGNER Calvin	56%	36%	8%	1%	-	-	-
41	ZHOU Grant	8%	30%	37%	20%	5%	-
42	SEN David	57%	36%	6%	-	-	-
42	HO Liam	9%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-
44	HOU Bowen	67%	28%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.