Cobra Challenge SYC-RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, November 26, 2021 at 3:30 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
2 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
3 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 39%
3 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 9%
5 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
6 FANG Eason 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
7 NG Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
8 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
9 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
10 CRAIG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
11 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
12 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
13 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
13 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
15 YOOK Isaac 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
16 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
17 LEUNG Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
18 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
19 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
20 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
21 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14% 1%
22 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29% 3%
23 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
24 LEE Griffin 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
25 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
26 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
27 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
28 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3%
29 OH Aster 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
30 KIETLINSKI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 6%
31 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 4% -
32 LIU Victor 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
33 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
34 WANG Max 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
35 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 5% -
36 HU Andrew 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
37 CHUNG Connor 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
38 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
39 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
40 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
41 MARTINSON Torm 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
42 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
43 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
44 HARDRICK Noah 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
45 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
46 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
47 DEELY Hartigan 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
48 ZHANG Ray 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1%
49 BAI Evan 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
50 GONG Gavin 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 1% -
51 MATHIJSSEN Tim 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
52 GAO Kai 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
53 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
54 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
55 SANTOS Theodore 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
56 CHANG Daniel 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
57 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
58 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% -
59 BREUER Daniel 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
60 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 100% 96% 69% 24% 4% - -
61 SASSI Ilyas 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
62 CHENG Sawyer 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
63 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1%
64 PAI Ayan 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
65 LOO Jason 100% 96% 62% 22% 4% -
66 GREENE Xavier 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
67 MEHTA Krish 100% 29% 4% - - -
68 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
69 NGO Emerson 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
70 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
71 LEE Gordon 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
72 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
73 DONG Joshua 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
74 CHERNAEV Antonio 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
75 CRUZ Vien Iñigo 100% 97% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
76 BIVIJI Adam 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
77 LUCAS Collin 100% 27% 3% - - -
78 OREN Daniel 100% 86% 43% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.