Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, September 26, 2021 at 3:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SADOVA Olga 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
2 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 OBLONSKY Natalia 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
3 FESTA Carina 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
5 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
6 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2%
7 KHAN Alissa 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
8 NAYAK Esha 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1%
9 WU Helen 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
10 YANG Jenny J. 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
11 SCHULZE Seunghee 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
12 NAYAK Indra 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11%
13 NAYAK Mira 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
14 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 GIBEK Victoria 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
16 NAYAK Anika 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
17 GORDON Sharon 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
18 MARSH Lisa 100% 39% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.