National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
2 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
3 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
5 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
6 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
7 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
8 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
10 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
11 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
12 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
13 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
14 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 9%
15 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
16 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 36% 5%
17 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 9%
18 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
19 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
19 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
21 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
23 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
24 XI Shining 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
25 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
26 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
27 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
28 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
29 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
30 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
31 LIU Sophie 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
32 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
33 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
34 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
35 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 4% -
36 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
37 MADA Skye 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
38 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
38 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 15%
40 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
41 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 7%
42 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
42 NGUYEN Ella 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
44 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% < 1% -
45 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
46 WU Erica L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 11%
47 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
48 LU Amy 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 25% 3%
49 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 5%
49 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
51 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
52 HURST Kennedy 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
53 HOLMES Emma 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
54 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
55 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 6%
56 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 99% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
57 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
58 BILILIES Sophia 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% 1%
59 SPRINGER Ella 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
60 DANK Dina 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
61 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
62 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
63 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
64 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
65 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 25% 2%
66 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
67 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
68 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
69 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
70 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
71 NATH Trisha 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
72 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
73 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
74 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
74 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 8%
76 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
77 KONG Carys H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
78 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
79 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 2%
80 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
80 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
82 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
83 YANG Lea 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
84 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
85 KRYLOVA Valery 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
86 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
87 CHANG Audrey 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
88 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
89 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
90 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
91 NEIBART Fiona 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 1%
92 NAYAK Indra 100% 98% 76% 32% 5% -
93 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
94 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
95 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 99% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
95 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
97 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
98 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
99 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
99 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 100% 94% 56% 17% 2% -
101 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
101 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 3%
103 PATEL Riya 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
104 HUANG MADELINE 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
105 CHEN Xinyan 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 1%
106 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 22% 2%
107 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
108 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
109 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
109 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
111 MARYASH Samantha 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
112 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
113 TONG Jessie 100% 88% 48% 12% 1% - -
114 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
115 ZINNI Kaylyn M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 8% 1%
116 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
117 CHAGARES Sarah M. 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
118 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
119 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
120 YUAN Greta 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
121 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
122 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
123 NAYAK Mira 100% 86% 34% 6% - - -
124 FANG sophie 100% 97% 68% 18% 2% - -
125 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
126 SHIH Christina 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
127 TODD Phoebe 100% 99% 86% 44% 10% 1% -
128 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11% 1%
129 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
130 BARTON Mele 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
131 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
132 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
133 NAYAK Anika 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
134 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 4% -
135 SHAPONA Lillian 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
136 ALTIRS Kate 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% - -
137 LUKER Sophia 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
138 WANG Jianning 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -
139 BAWA Anahat 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
140 GOMES Diana C. 100% 99% 85% 37% 7% 1% -
141 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
142 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 100% 97% 65% 25% 5% -
143 WANG Zidan 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
144 JAVERI Amaya 100% 93% 61% 19% 3% - -
144 NEELEY Leilani 100% 55% 7% - - - -
146 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
147 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
148 MESSICK Maya 100% 86% 34% 4% - - -
149 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
150 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 90% 53% 16% 2%
151 YAN Ava 100% 85% 33% 6% - -
152 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 40% 6% - - -
153 FREY Sarah E. 100% 41% 7% - - -
154 JENKINS Scotland 100% 73% 29% 6% - -
155 HU Michelle 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
156 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% - -
157 TSAI Anna A. 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
158 CHIN Elise 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% - -
158 GEIGER Abigail 100% 94% 54% 16% 3% - -
160 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
161 HSU Mia Y. 100% 74% 23% 3% - - -
162 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
162 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
164 PADOS Anna 100% 60% 11% 1% - - -
165 KOCIS Julia 100% 74% 25% 4% - - -
166 LIN Grace 100% 25% 3% - - - -
167 PATEL Karitsa 100% 39% 2% - - - -
168 PI Sophia 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
169 HAMILTON Ciera 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
170 CHO Michelle 100% 29% 3% - - - -
171 BROWN Delaney 100% 89% 45% 10% 1% -
172 HUNG Anna 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% -
173 DRAEKER Margaret 100% 75% 28% 5% - -
174 TODD Peregrine 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
175 YAN Lena 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
176 COLBY Mercer 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
177 YEN Natalie 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
178 MORAN Rhea 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
179 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
179 DAMDINSUREN Sophie 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
179 DEANGELO Annabelle 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
182 MCNALLY Teagan 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
182 OPPY Eve 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
184 CANDEUB Lucy 100% 38% 5% - - - -
184 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 7% - - - - -
184 POLEN Layne 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
187 CHEN Athena 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
188 WU Selina 100% 58% 6% - - - -
188 KIM Elyssa 100% 36% 4% - - - -
190 BLUMSTEIN Alannah 100% 68% 8% - - - -
190 OPPY Mia 100% 62% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.