National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 7, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
2 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 15%
3 NORMILE Jon M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 HOFFMANN Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
5 LANG Markus 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
6 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
7 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
8 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
9 REES Daniel I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
10 FRANK Fred 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
11 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
12 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 LEE PETER H. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% < 1% -
14 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
15 BLANCHARD Aaron (Sam) S. 100% 99% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
16 BAXTER David 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
17 WILSON Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
18 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
19 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 2%
20 GILLHAM Timothy A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
21 MAR Kevin 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
22 FELDMAN Adam 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 4%
23 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
24 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
25 WOZNIAK Greg 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
26 WAY Kashi M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
27 CHERNYSHOV Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
28 KENT Dwain 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
29 JENSEN David 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
30 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
31 REID Michael 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
32 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
33 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1%
34 PIERRO Roger 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
36 NEMAZIE David A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
37 STEVENS Terrence 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
38 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
39 BALESTRACCI Chris 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
40 KISSINGFORD John F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 2%
41 KANE Tim 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
42 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
43 COTLAR Andrew D. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
44 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
45 WEINTRAUB Adam 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
46 BUSH Thomas 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
47 DESAMOURS Georges H. 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
47 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
49 POPOVICI Alexander M. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
50 KOKENGE Chad 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
51 LEE Richard U. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
52 VAUGHN David 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
53 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
54 MAYS Sean 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
55 SIMS Martin L. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
56 SCHARF David 100% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.