National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Thursday, July 8, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
2 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
5 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
7 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
8 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
9 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
10 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
11 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
12 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
13 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
14 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
15 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
16 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
17 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
18 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
18 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
20 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
21 GOMES Diana C. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
22 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
23 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
24 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
25 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 8%
25 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
27 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
28 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 8%
29 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
30 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
31 KONG Carys H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
32 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
33 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
34 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 6%
35 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
36 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
37 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
38 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
39 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
40 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
40 TSOI Julie 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
42 NATH Trisha 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
43 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
44 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
45 FESTA Carina 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
46 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 4% -
47 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
48 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
49 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
50 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
51 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
52 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
53 XU Emily T. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
53 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
55 FAN Grace 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
56 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
56 FANG sophie 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
58 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
58 YANG Lea 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
60 EVANS Madelynn 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
61 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 82% 38% 9% 1%
62 KHAN Alissa 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
63 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
64 ZHANG Sophie 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
65 NAYAK Indra 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
66 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
67 DENG Brooke 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3% -
68 ALTIRS Kate 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
69 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
70 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
71 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
72 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
73 BAWA Anahat 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
74 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
74 FLATT Sophia 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
76 FEIG Sela 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
77 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
77 CHOU Amy R. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
79 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7% -
80 HU Michelle 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
81 MANN Sophia J. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
82 GARRETT Madrid 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
83 JAVERI Amaya 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
84 ZHENG Valentina 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
85 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
86 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 59% 17% 2% -
87 CZEKAJEWSKA Sonia M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
88 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
89 MCKEE Ainsley 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
90 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
91 SCHOEW Margot 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
92 REN Xinling 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
93 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
94 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
95 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
95 JEONG Katie 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 6% -
97 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
98 NAYAK Anika 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
99 SHEARER Alena 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
100 MESSICK Maya 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
101 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
102 ZENG Sarah 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
103 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
104 LAGOON Miriam 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
105 HUAI Delilah 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
106 YOUNG Audrey 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
107 LIN Lauren 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
108 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
108 ROBINSON Adeline 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
110 NGUYEN Siena 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
111 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
112 KOKAL Genevieve 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
113 COLBY Mercer 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
114 TUNG Renee 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
114 YAN Lena 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
114 XU ALINA 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
114 DAI Olivia 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
118 LIU Sydney 100% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
119 CHIANG Melissa 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
119 CHO Michelle 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
121 STONE Coral 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
122 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 9% - - - -
123 TONG Jessie 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
124 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 76% 29% 6% 1% - -
125 LIU Yifei 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.