National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, July 9, 2021 at 8:30 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Jaelyn A. - - - - 2% 21% 78%
2 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 SEO IRENE Y. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
3 CHO Rebecca H. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - - - 3% 17% 45% 34%
6 NISSINOFF Alexandra - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
7 YANG Iris - - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
8 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
9 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
10 GOOR Viviene E. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
11 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - - 1% 19% 80%
12 CHEN Renee - - 4% 19% 43% 30% 3%
13 SHA Yi Ling - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
14 LIU Angel(Daying) - - - 4% 23% 47% 25%
15 SUN Chloe - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
16 KIM Rachel - 2% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
17 CHOW Annabelle - - 2% 12% 37% 44% 5%
18 LEE Lavender - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
19 BIODROWICZ Julia - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
20 CHANG Elizabeth - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
21 MI Aileen - - 4% 21% 42% 28% 3%
22 ZHENG Julie - - 6% 31% 45% 17%
23 LI Sophia M. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
24 ZHANG Eunice - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
25 SHENG Chuxi - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
26 ORVANANOS Anice - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
27 STRUGAR Steliana - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
28 VO Bao-Vy - 2% 14% 36% 35% 11% 1%
29 HAN Crystal - 2% 16% 43% 32% 7%
30 SHIM Grace 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
31 SHMAY Anastasia - - 4% 21% 42% 27% 5%
32 WANG Jasmine - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
33 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - - 1% 14% 44% 41%
34 MANIKTALA Prisha - - 4% 19% 43% 31% 3%
35 HSU Kaylin 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
36 SHUM Maya - 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 1%
37 JIANG Claire 1% 11% 30% 37% 17% 3% -
38 MARISI Gianna - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
39 CHEN Chloe I. - 6% 25% 43% 24% 2%
40 ZHUANG Christina - 4% 21% 43% 30% 3%
41 MU Allison 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
42 NAIR Supriya - 1% 5% 22% 39% 27% 5%
43 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7% -
44 CASTANEDA Keira - - 3% 18% 43% 32% 4%
45 YANG Audrey 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2% -
46 BADLANI Diya 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
47 ZHANG Ivy 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
48 ZHENG Zoe - 6% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
49 YAN Noelle 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
50 HAN Ashley 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
51 WANG Jolie Z. 14% 45% 33% 7% 1% -
52 WRIGHT Taliyah 5% 30% 45% 18% 3% -
53 SHEN Emilia 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
54 LUH Mia P. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
55 ZHANG Selena 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
55 SWANSON Alexa 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
57 BOLES Amanda X. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
58 KO Claire 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
59 WRIGHT Trinity 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
60 PEVZNER Nicole 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
61 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
62 PARK Lina - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
63 DAVIS Logan - 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
63 PARA Akshaya 22% 45% 27% 6% - - -
65 BEAVER Ava - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
66 SHENG Katherine 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
67 PAULUS Sloane 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
68 ALLEYNE Taylar 5% 26% 41% 23% 4% -
69 HAFEZ Tahiyah 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
70 FENG Grace 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
71 YU Jane 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
72 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
73 GUO Lily 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
74 CULLIVAN Sienna - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9% 1%
75 LAI Sophia 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
75 WANG Sunny 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
77 EVELAND Zoe 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% - -
77 DENG Melissa 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
79 PENG Charlotte - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
80 KAPRAN Anastasia 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
81 MORALES Paulina 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
82 LENK Sophie 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
83 BROWN Lola 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
84 REN Kayley 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
85 BROWN Lily 3% 23% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
86 COX Sophia 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
87 LUO Miranda 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
88 ALKADI Mai 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
89 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
90 LI Han 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
91 GAO Anne 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
92 PARK Zena 20% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
93 CHUANG Ramona 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
94 HANNAH Abigail 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
95 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
96 DESERANNO Seren 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.