National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
2 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
3 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
5 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
6 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
7 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
8 ZHANG Ivy 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
9 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
10 WANG Sunny 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
11 REN Kayley 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 9%
12 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
13 FENG Grace 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
14 DAVID Lilou J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
15 BROWN Lola 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 3% -
16 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
17 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 16%
18 CHOW Tessa 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21% 1%
19 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
20 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
21 ALLEYNE Taylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 15%
22 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
23 DENG Melissa 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
24 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
25 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
26 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2% -
27 WANG Jolie Z. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
28 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
29 PARK Lina 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
30 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 92% 61% 23% 4%
31 HO Addison 100% 99% 92% 60% 21% 3%
32 DESERANNO Seren 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
33 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
34 WRIGHT Taliyah 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
35 WANG CAROL 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
36 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
37 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
38 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 65% 20% 2% < 1% - -
39 PINEDA jade luna 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
40 IQBAL Mariam 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
41 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 98% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
42 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
43 FEDER Acadia 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
44 CAO Kayla 100% 100% 93% 58% 18% 2% -
45 CHAN Mila 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
46 LI Han 100% 81% 32% 6% - -
47 PARK Zena 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
48 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
49 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
50 WRIGHT Trinity 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 1%
51 WANG Amabel 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
52 LEE Madeleine 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
53 LI Olivia 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
54 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
54 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 89% 49% 13% 2% - -
56 CHAN Ella 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
57 GUHA Asha 100% 95% 59% 20% 3% -
58 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% -
59 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
60 HAN Mia 100% 92% 47% 13% 2% - -
61 TAO Ann 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
62 EYER Brooke 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
63 OWEN Alexandra 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
64 HAN Gian 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
65 BING Charlotte 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
66 BENNETT Alyssa 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
67 ZUNIGA Andrea 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
68 LI Joy 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
69 LENZ Phoebe 100% 27% 2% - - - -
70 WANG DINA C. 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
71 LIU Angelina 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
72 LI Doreen 100% 24% 2% - - -
73 LI savannah 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
74 WOODLEY Isabella 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
75 LIU Jenna 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.