National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 1:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Casey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
3 HONE Katarina G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
3 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
5 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
6 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
7 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
8 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
9 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
10 BROWNE Alexis G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
11 MADA Skye 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
12 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 44% 11%
13 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
14 NEIBART Fiona 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
15 DANK Dina 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
16 SUN Alyssa 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
17 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
18 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 5%
19 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 3%
20 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
21 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
22 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
23 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
24 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
25 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
26 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
27 ROGERS Pauline E. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
28 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
29 LIU Rachel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
30 SHI Cathleen 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% -
31 JUNG Irene 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
32 COLTER Aurora 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
33 MENKE Kavya I. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
34 SADIK HANA 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
35 TIBURCIO Diana 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
36 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
37 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
38 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
39 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
40 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
41 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
42 NI Sharon 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
43 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
44 YODER Bridget H. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
45 VALADEZ Emily T. 100% 100% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
46 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
47 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
48 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1%
49 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
50 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
51 TUNG Renee 100% 89% 38% 8% 1% - -
52 HE Cassandra 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
53 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
54 DHAR Aamina 100% 75% 32% 8% 1% -
55 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
56 HUNG Anna 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
57 NOBREGA Carolina S. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
58 CHIN Elise 100% 69% 28% 7% 1% - -
59 PI Sophia 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
60 TONG Jessie 100% 71% 22% 3% - - -
61 BARTON Mele 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% -
62 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
63 YUAN Greta 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
64 GIRARDI Aemilia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
65 CHEN Athena 100% 28% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.