The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-14 Women's Foil

Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg, VA · Fredericksburg, VA, USA
25 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 26%
3 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
5 PARK Lina 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
6 LEE emily 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
7 OWENS Elise 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
8 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 5%
9 VIANA Reese 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
10 BABER Eshaal 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
11 WANG CAROL 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
12 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
13 CAO Kayla 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
14 EVELAND Zoe 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1%
15 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
16 TAN Isabella 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1%
17 DHULIPALA Aparna 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
18 CARAMELO Audrey T. 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
19 MADSEN Ansley 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
20 EGOAVIL Isabella 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
21 IQBAL Mariam 100% 98% 73% 31% 6% -
22 MULLER Van 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
23 YERRAMSETTI Hansika 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
24 KRINGS Sasha 100% 15% 1% - - -
25 DESILVER Rachel 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -