Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
2 LUO Amy 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 BOREN Ava 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
3 NEELAM Navya 100% 98% 83% 44% 10% 1%
5 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 4%
6 BI Michelle 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
7 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
8 ILYAS Ayah 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
9 WRIGHT Madison 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
10 QI Julieanne 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
11 KROPP Anne 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
12 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
13 CUEVA Viola 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
14 D'ANGELO Olivia 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
15 KRAWIECKI Arden 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
16 EHLERS Caroline 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
17 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
18 LY Hannah 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
19 PARK Heni 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
20 BABCOCK Alana 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.