Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - - 1% 13% 86%
2 MING Cynthia - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
3 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 YANG Alisa - - 3% 18% 40% 33% 6%
5 KORFONTA Jolie - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
6 CAPELLUA Mariasole - - 1% 6% 24% 45% 24%
7 JAKEL Alysa C. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4% -
8 DESAI Meera P. - - - 4% 20% 45% 30%
9 LU Samantha R. - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
10 ZHU Serene M. - 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
11 WITTER Catherine A. - 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
12 SHIV Avni 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% -
13 LIU Nicole - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
14 NIX Reagan 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
15 PARK Judy 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
16 HU Chelsea 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
17 PEELER Julia - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
18 HOSANAGAR Inchara 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
19 YOU Emily 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 6% 1%
20 PULLEN Ayah 1% 14% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
21 ZHAO Ivy 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
22 BYBEE Lucy J. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
23 NEELAM Neha 1% 12% 38% 36% 12% 1%
24 KEE Bea Isabelle 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
25 DAVIS Elisabeth 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
26 BARCLAY Khyri 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3% -
27 NIEMAN Anjolie 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
28 MIHILL Margaret 43% 45% 11% 1% - - -
29 NIEMAN Aubrey 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
30 KUMAR Anusha 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
31 PENHOET Evelyn 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
32 PLAZA-GASALLA Gloria 27% 50% 20% 3% - - -
33 VICKERMAN Lilly 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
34 MAGALSKI Mary 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.