Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
2 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 13%
3 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 ZHAO Ivy 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 6%
5 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 YOU Emily 100% 100% 96% 70% 26% 3%
7 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
8 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
9 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
10 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
11 QIU Emily 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
12 PARK Judy 100% 100% 97% 76% 30% 3%
13 LUO Amy 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
14 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 5%
15 VICKERMAN Sofia 100% 98% 81% 39% 9% 1%
16 CUEVA Viola 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% -
17 PULLEN Ayah 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
18 KUMAR Anusha 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% -
19 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
20 VICKERMAN Aspen 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
21 FORDER Isabel 100% 97% 73% 23% 3% -
22 WRIGHT Madison 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
23 WANG Ziqiao 100% 84% 46% 13% 1% -
24 ILYAS Ayah 100% 78% 28% 4% - -
25 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 100% 96% 71% 26% 4% -
25 BI Michelle 100% 38% 6% - - -
25 PARK Heni 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
28 ZAIDI Maira 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
29 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
30 EHLERS Caroline 100% 55% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.