Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 9%
2 JIN Andy 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 KOE Declan 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
3 HUA Aaron 100% 99% 87% 48% 7%
5 TSENG Lucas 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
6 SUAREZ David 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
7 CHEN Hanson 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
8 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
9 XIE Jayden 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
10 ALANAZI Saif 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
11 HE Ryan 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
12 QIAN Henry 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
13 FARMER John 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
14 DUROCHER Greyson 100% 69% 25% 5% -
15 BABER Shaheer 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
16 CHOW Kingsley 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
17 NEMI Vin 100% 99% 84% 41% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.