Event Results

Y-12 Men's Épée

Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYCSurprise Map

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM Fredericksburg, VA · Fredericksburg, VA, USA

28 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	SAUNIER Cameron	D V V V V V	V V V V	4.9	5	+0.1
2	LEE Aiden	V V V V V V	V V V D	4.9	6	+1.1
3	SINGH Ravin	V V V V V V	V V D	4.0	6	+2.0
3	MOORE Alexander	V V V V V V	V V D	3.4	6	+2.6
5	LAM Alan	D V V V V V	V V D	4.0	5	+1.0
6	ALI Farhan	D D V V V V	V V D	3.0	4	+1.0
7	LEE DoWon	V V D D V V	V V D	3.0	4	+1.0
8	YU Jason	D V V V D V	V V D	4.6	4	-0.6
9	SIEDOW William	D V D V V V	V D	2.7	4	+1.3
10	AYOTTE James	V V V D D V	V D	2.4	4	+1.6
11	AHN EZRA	V D D V V V	V D	2.1	4	+1.9
12	GONZALEZ Aaron M	V D V V D D	V D	3.5	3	-0.5
13	GUO Lucas	V D V V D D	V D	3.9	3	-0.9
14	BANSAL Arjun	D D V V D D	V D	3.8	2	-1.8
15	HEADRICK Jack	D D V D D V	V D	5.1	2	-3.1
16	CHAWLA Aarav	D D V D V D	V D	1.5	2	+0.5
17	ARMSTRONG TyLee	D V D V V D	D	3.6	3	-0.6
18	KE Sebastian	D V D D V V	D	2.4	3	+0.6
19	OZBAY Alp	V V D D D D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
20	JAHAN-PARVAR Kourosh	V D D D V D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
21	CLARK Ian	V D V D D D	D	1.3	2	+0.7
22	KIM Julian	D V D D D V	D	2.0	2	-
23	GONZALEZ Gavin	V V D D D D	D	2.8	2	-0.8
24	HEITFIELD Markus	V D D D D D	D	2.5	1	-1.5
25	CHA Patrick	D D D D D V	D	2.5	1	-1.5
26	WILKERSON Tobias	D V D D D D	D	3.2	1	-2.2
27	BENNETT Pierce	D D V D D D	D	1.2	1	-0.2
28	KONG Brandon	D D D D D D	D	2.0	0	-2.0

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!