Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HASSANEIN Toqa 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
2 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
3 LEE Sophia 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
5 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
6 FANG sophie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
7 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 4%
8 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
9 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 100% 90% 53% 14% 1%
10 GUTHIKONDA Sunanya 100% 99% 87% 46% 11% 1%
11 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
12 HSU Mia Y. 100% 95% 51% 13% 1% -
13 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 88% 48% 11% 1%
14 DHAR Aamina 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
15 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 81% 36% 8% 1%
16 ELDER Rhiannon C. 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
17 PAL Anjali G. 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 4%
18 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
19 TODD Phoebe 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
20 COLBY Mercer 100% 75% 25% 3% - -
21 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 63% 19% 3% -
22 LE GOUELLEC Isabelle 100% 21% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.