Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
2 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
3 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
6 GUAN Luke 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
7 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
8 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
9 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
10 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
10 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1%
12 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4%
13 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 83% 45% 11% 1%
14 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
15 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
16 CLARK Keagan 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
17 WALKE Devin 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
18 SU Landon 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
19 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
20 WU Richard 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
21 OTT Alexander 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
22 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 81% 43% 11% 1%
23 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
23 LEVY Jacob 100% 86% 35% 6% - -
25 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
26 LIN Felix 100% 30% 4% - - -
27 GUAN Dennis 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
28 PILLAI Jay K. 100% 97% 76% 30% 5% -
29 DESAI Dhilan 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
30 CHATTOO Elias 100% 28% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.