The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-12 Men's Foil

Winter Warlock RYCPool Heatmap

Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 10:30 AM Royal Arts Fencing Academy · Columbus, OH, USA
19 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
2 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
3 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
5 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
6 LI Joseph 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
7 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
8 HICKEY Connor 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
9 BLUM Preston 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
10 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
11 RICHARDS Blake 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
12 TACK Everett 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
13 DESERANNO Leander 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
14 ALLEN Samuel 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
15 CALESHU Bauer 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 1%
16 WENGER Liam 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
17 JAMESON Llewellyn 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
18 HILBERT Charlie 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
19 SALING Camden 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% 1% -