Event Preview
January NACFriday, January 6, 2023 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3995 | 4049 - 3937 |
| 5 - 8 | 3823 | 3868 - 3779 |
| 9 - 16 | 3645 | 3708 - 3599 |
| 17 - 32 | 3525 | 3618 - 3426 |
| 33 - 64 | 3248 | 3409 - 3090 |
| 65 - 128 | 2788 | 3072 - 2303 |
| 129 - 154 | 2110 | 2732 - 1186 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.