Event Preview
January NACSunday, January 8, 2023 at 12:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4078 | 4354 - 3956 |
| 5 - 8 | 3826 | 3862 - 3800 |
| 9 - 16 | 3688 | 3763 - 3603 |
| 17 - 32 | 3456 | 3563 - 3349 |
| 33 - 64 | 3191 | 3324 - 3092 |
| 65 - 128 | 2836 | 3167 - 2614 |
| 129 - 185 | 2282 | 2876 - 1147 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.