Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago ROC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. | V V V V V V | V V V | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 2 | SWENSON Nikita G. | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 3 | AHUJA Arianna | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia | D D V V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 5 | BURN Lauren M. | V V V V D D | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 6 | BOLES Savvianna | V V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 7 | KIZILBASH Zara | V D V V D D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | STOECKEL Sofia I. | D V V D V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 9 | XIONG Angelica | D V D V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 10 | MACEY Hadley | D D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 11 | SWENSON Alexandra | V D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 12 | SCHLIEP Anna J. | D V D D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 13 | SANTOS Cara | V D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 14 | GROCE Linda J. | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |