Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago ROC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MURZYN III CJ | V V V D V V V D V | V V V | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 2 | LIU Jonathan M. | V V V V V V V V V | V V D | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| 3 | NARANJO David E. | V V V D D D D V V | V D | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| 3 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | D V D V V V V V V | V D | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| 5 | BIRKS Evan D. | D D V D V V V V V | D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 6 | GUO Thomas | D D D D V V V V D | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | AN David | V V V V D D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 8 | BRADFORD Ethan | D V D V D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 9 | PARK Caleb | D D D V D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 10 | TREANOR Donald K. | D D D D D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |