Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago ROC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BURN Lauren M. | V V V V V | V V V | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 2 | BOLES Sophia | V V V D D | V V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | ELSTON Sophia | V V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | KIZILBASH Zara | V D V V V D | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 5 | AHUJA Arianna | D V V V V V | D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 6 | NELSON Grace E. | V D V V V | V D | 1.2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 7 | SKOURLETOS Angelina | D V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 8 | SWENSON Nikita G. | D D D D V | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 9 | STOECKEL Sofia I. | D V V D D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 10 | BOLES Savvianna | V D D D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 11 | SANTOS Cara | V D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 12 | CHUANG Ramona | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 13 | MACEY Hadley | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |