Evanston, IL - Evanston, IL, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | ANA Ionut (Johnny) A. | V V V V V D | V V V V V | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
2 | MALYSZ Anthony J. | D D D V V | V V V V V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
3 | ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
3 | FELKER Jared L. | V V D D V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
5 | VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
6 | GILLHAM Timothy A. | V V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
7 | NOWAK Jakub P. | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
8 | KELSEY Ryan | V D V V D V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
9 | KULAGA Peter C. | D V V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
9 | MAYER Vinzenz | V D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
11 | WOZNIAK David | V V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
12 | REPP Andrew J. | D V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
13 | OH Kevin Y. | V V V D D V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
14 | MAURER Scott J. | D D V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
15 | MARTIN Liam N. | V D V D D V | V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
16 | LENDER David | D D V D V D | V V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
17 | WOZNIAK Sebastian | V V V D V V | D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
18 | ZEKO David J. | V V D V V V | D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
19 | MAAS Cameron T. | V V V D V D | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
20 | WILLETT Addison | D V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
20 | RESHEIDAT Shadi | D V V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
22 | WOZNIAK Greg | D D V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
23 | AITKEN Andrew W. | D V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
24 | CORRALES Nikolas | V V D D V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
25 | OCHS Bradley C. | V V D D V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
26 | SWEI Ryan S. | D D D V V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
27 | TOPAZ Nicholas | D D V D D V | V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
28 | VAN TASSEL Schuyler | D D V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
29 | DAVIES Christian B. | V D D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
30 | WALSH Christopher J. | D D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
31 | SWANSON Dave | D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
32 | HERMAN Ronald J. | D D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
33 | ALI Adam | D V V V D V | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
34 | BECKER Thomas | V V V D D D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
35 | TIERNEY Luke | V D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
36 | O'HARROW Tristan C. | V D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
38 | BOLAKOWSKI John M. | V D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
39 | DE VERDIER Olof | D V V D D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
40 | SCHRANK Mitchell | V D D D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
41 | MARTIN Dirk | D V D D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
42 | KAISH Jeremy H. | V D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
43 | BAIRD Matthew | D D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
44 | CORRALES Manuel F. | D V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
44 | BRADLEY Noah W. | D D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
46 | KRIEGISCH Jacob A. | D V D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
47 | CASTELLANOS Rene E. | D D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
48 | SHAH Manan | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.