The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 32%
2 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
3 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
3 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
5 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
6 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
7 SKOURLETOS Angelina 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
8 ENRILE Erica 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
9 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
10 HAYNES Antonia 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
11 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 38%
12 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
13 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
14 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
15 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4%
16 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 98% 81% 39% 7% -
17 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
18 BARG Daniella 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
19 SENYUVA Su 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
20 YERIAN Ayda 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
21 STERR Isabella M. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
21 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
23 WANG Ziqi 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
24 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 99% 87% 49% 13% 1%
25 BARG Margaret 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
26 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
27 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
28 HUANG Lanlan 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
29 HAN Hannah Y. 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
30 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
31 WANG Victoria 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
32 PHUKAN Indra 100% 99% 88% 51% 12% 1%
33 XU Katelyn 100% 100% 92% 59% 18% 2%
34 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
35 GEVA Eliana 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
36 COLINA UZCÁTEGUI gabriela 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
37 GUO Luxi 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
38 IYER Ishana 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
39 QIAN Irene 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
40 VARAN Kateryna 100% 41% 7% - - -
41 READ Lyla 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
42 LISCUM Vivian 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
43 VAN VACTER Madelynn 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
44 SHEN Yongen 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
45 MCCREIGHT Geneva 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% -
46 BLANCO Ariia 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
47 JIANG Xinchen 100% 39% 6% - - -
48 CHUANG Ramona 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
49 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
50 MIRZA Annoshae 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
51 LEE Yeriel 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
52 KANASKAR Ila 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
53 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
54 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 90% 43% 9% 1% -
55 THOMAS Alice 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
56 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
57 MCCREIGHT Elena 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% -
58 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 64% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.