The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 98% 81% 38%
2 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 20%
3 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
3 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
6 LEWIS Michael 100% 65% 20% 3% -
7 WU Nathan 100% 96% 70% 21% 2%
8 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
9 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
10 DAI Chengwen 100% 99% 89% 48% 9%
11 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 95% 60% 15% 1%
12 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 90% 50% 13% 1%
13 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
14 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
15 GUERRERO Augustine 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
16 KIM Evan 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
17 CHEN Aiden 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
18 LI Stephen 100% 36% 5% - -
19 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 100% 95% 60% 19% 2%
20 GUERRERO Marcus 100% 98% 83% 41% 5%
20 WALKER Beckett 100% 99% 85% 35% 5%
22 CHOW Austin 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.