The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
2 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
5 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
7 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 11% 1%
8 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
9 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 SWANSON Alexa 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
11 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 4%
12 CUI alivia 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12% -
13 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
14 HO Addison 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
15 BROWN Lola 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
16 LENK Sophie 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
17 KIM Chloe 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
18 REN Kayley 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
19 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
20 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
21 FENG Grace 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
22 LUO Miranda 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
23 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 1%
24 OROPEZA tamara 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 16%
25 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
26 ZHANG Ivy 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
27 WANG Sophia 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
28 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
29 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
30 DUAN Sophie 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
31 DESERANNO Seren 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
31 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
33 ALKADI Mai 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
34 DESAI Esha 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
35 OH Ceana 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
36 HAN Gian 100% 98% 81% 40% 9% 1% -
37 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 79% 29% 4% - - -
38 KIM Sydney 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
39 COX Sophia 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
40 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
41 HOM Avery 100% 38% 6% 1% - -
42 HAN Mia 100% 97% 76% 29% 5% - -
43 DENG Claire 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
44 TAO Ann 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
45 LI Joy 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
46 LI Olivia 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
47 KIM Karen 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
47 CHOI Sophie 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
49 KNAPP Isabella 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
50 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
51 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
52 LI Jasmine 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
53 LIU Angelina 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.