The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
2 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 18%
3 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
5 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
6 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
7 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
8 WANG Ziqi 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
9 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
10 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
11 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
12 GUO Luxi 100% 99% 88% 47% 12% 1%
13 LISCUM Vivian 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
14 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
15 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 17% 1%
16 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 10% 1%
17 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
18 READ Lyla 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
19 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
20 IYER Ishana 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
21 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
22 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 98% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
23 SHEN Yongen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
24 KANASKAR Ila 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
25 THOMAS Alice 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% -
26 PEI Claire 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
27 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
28 XU Jessica 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
29 JIANG Xinchen 100% 78% 34% 6% - - -
30 LEE Yeriel 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
31 ORIA Isabel 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% - -
32 MCCREIGHT Elena 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
33 QI Julieanne 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
34 WU Jessica 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
35 HALE Avery 100% 100% 93% 69% 29% 5%
36 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 94% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
37 CHERNIS Liah 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
38 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
39 GUERRERO Sophia 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
40 AHMED Hafsa 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
41 STERN Savannah 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% - -
42 ZHAO Yanning 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
43 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
44 WEST Vivian 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
45 OLSON Olivia 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
46 YERIAN Alayna 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.