The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, December 20, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
2 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
5 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 15%
6 PARK Sky 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% < 1%
7 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
8 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
9 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
10 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
11 ZHENG zhe 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 7%
12 QIAN Jason H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
13 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
14 CO Dylan 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 1%
15 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18%
16 TAN Peter 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
17 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
18 REYES Omar 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
19 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20%
20 ANDRIC Borna 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
21 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
22 OROPEZA David 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
23 LI Jett 100% 100% 100% 98% 66% 21% 2%
24 KUO Evan 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
25 HAN Derek 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
25 FINLEY Dylan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
27 YAO Bradley 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
28 FUKUDA Diego 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
29 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 21%
30 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 97% 70% 24% 3%
31 CHEN Justin K. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
32 WANG Ethan 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
33 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
34 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
35 KIM Adrian 100% 99% 86% 41% 8% -
36 FANG Jaden 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
37 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
38 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 99% 72% 26% 3%
39 CHEN Kelton 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% - -
40 KETTELLE John 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
41 KIM Jonah 100% 74% 19% 2% - -
42 PORTER Rory 100% 27% 2% - - -
43 ZHANG Aaron 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
44 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 13% 2%
45 JIANG Yehong 100% 91% 46% 3% - - -
46 CHEN Leetyan 100% 48% 7% - - -
47 KUANG Aaron 100% 89% 32% 4% - -
48 PARK Ryan 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
48 PARK Rion 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
50 TAN Youkai (Isaac) 100% 81% 31% 1% - - -
51 MANICKAM Varun 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
52 LING Eddie 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
53 BARRETT Austin 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
54 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
55 CAPRA Ethan 100% 99% 85% 38% 7% 1%
56 APPL Eli 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
57 SINGH Kushaal 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
58 CHANDRA Josh T. 100% 51% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.