The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Monday, December 20, 2021 at 2:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
2 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 34%
3 LUKER Hannah 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
5 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
7 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
8 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
9 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
10 STONE Coral 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
11 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
12 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
13 WANG Jiayi 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
14 CHEN Elaine 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
15 WANG Callie 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
16 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
17 GONG Joy 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
18 HSU leah 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
19 BORGUETA Madison 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
20 ZHAI AMY 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
21 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
22 HAN Emma 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
23 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
24 KWON Hannah 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
25 ORIA Isabel 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
26 WANG JiaQi 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
27 JORGESON Coco (Caroline) 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.