Event Results
U-M Fall OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ALTSCHUL James | V V V V V V | V V V | 3.9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| 2 | UTLEY James | D D V D D V | V V V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 3 | MACDONALD Kaylie | V D V V D D | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 3 | NWARU Chime | D V V D V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 5 | QORONFLEH Walid | V V V V V V | D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 6 | MURRAY Peter | V V D V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 7 | HUGHES Nathan | V V D D V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 8 | KIM Adrian | V D D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 9 | BROMELL Thomas | V D V V D D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 10 | HERMAN Sabrina | D V V V D D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 11 | ZHANG Yimeng | D D D V V D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 12 | FUSSY Madelaine | V D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 13 | OHRVALL Axel | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 14 | PULLMAN Jacob | D D D D D D | D | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |