U-M Fall Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 23, 2021 at 3:30 PM

North Campus Recreation Building - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SKUBIK Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 KANAR Ian 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
3 GOLDWEBER Eli 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
3 COLWELL Alex 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
6 DREYER Justin 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
7 CAVANAUGH Molly 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
8 FOLINO Anthony 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
9 KELBLEY Elena 100% 78% 36% 8% 1%
10 HENDRIAN Rachel 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
11 SHERWOOD Max 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
12 WANG Lucy 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% -
13 KNIGHT Azaria 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
15 KIM Adrian 100% 88% 54% 18% 2%
16 GOUILLON Marius 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
17 BISWAS Aneel 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
18 BAKKE Alexander 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
19 RAMACHANDRAN Omkar 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
20 DEL CASTILLO Kyle 100% 88% 51% 14% 1%
21 HEO Sookyung 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
22 RUNESTAD Emma 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.