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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MAKLIN Edward P. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
2 SKINNER Graham B. - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 GOLDMAN Noah R. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
3 NOBLE Colin - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
5 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
6 MICHNA Colin P. 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 3%
7 DOLAN Charles R. 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
8 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
9 PIWOWAR Alex 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
10 ELIN Adam E. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
11 GOLD Jackson - 6% 28% 45% 19% 2%
12 TOZZI Massimo 6% 29% 42% 20% 3% -
13 LI Yao (Liam) 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
13 HUANG Connor 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
15 MOULTON Ian 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
16 WU Wilmund - 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
17 PENG Bryan - 3% 18% 40% 32% 7%
18 KOGAN Benjamin - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
19 KASPER Aaron - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
20 PANEPINTO HATTORI Fernando 25% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
21 HUANG Tom 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
22 SHTEIN Yan 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
23 CHTERENTAL Alex 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
24 BRIDGES Benjamin 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
25 KAPOOR Tanmay 63% 31% 5% - - -
26 ZHUANG Rayken 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
27 OWENS Harrison J. 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
28 BONDARENCO Vlad 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
29 MORALES Jonathan 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
30 BENNETT John 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.