Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
2 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
5 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
6 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
7 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
8 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 6%
9 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 95% 68% 19% 2%
10 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
11 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
12 YU Lauren C. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
13 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
14 RENTON Samantha 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
15 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
16 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
17 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 4%
18 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 26% 3%
19 HUANG NATALIE 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
20 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 92% 55% 13% 1% - -
21 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
22 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
23 LI Meilin 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
24 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
25 DU Hannah 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
26 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 94% 65% 19% 2% -
27 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 78% 30% 4% - -
28 MEI Sarah 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
29 YANG Lingting 100% 90% 42% 9% 1% -
30 LIU Siyuan 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 12% 1%
31 KETTELLE Molly 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
32 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
33 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 88% 44% 8% 1% - -
34 DATLA Medha 100% 31% 3% - - -
35 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 80% 31% 5% - -
36 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
37 MADSEN Ansley 100% 48% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.