Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
2 AYOTTE James 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
3 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 RUSSELL Michael 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
5 AHN EZRA 100% 99% 93% 69% 26% 2%
6 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
7 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
8 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 50% 11% 1% -
9 YU Rainger 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
10 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 85% 44% 8%
11 LAM Jayden 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
12 FONG Henry 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
13 CLARK Ian 100% 91% 60% 20% 2% -
14 ELMARSAFI Wissam 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
15 JAHAN-PARVAR Kourosh 100% 99% 84% 38% 7% 1%
16 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 88% 43% 9% 1%
17 JAHAN-PARVAR Dariush 100% 100% 93% 65% 21% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.