May NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
3 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
5 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 4%
7 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
8 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
9 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
10 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
11 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
12 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38% 6%
13 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
14 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
15 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
16 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 92% 57% 10%
17 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
18 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
19 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
20 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
21 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
22 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 19%
23 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
24 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
25 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
26 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
27 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
28 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
29 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
30 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
31 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
32 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 1%
33 LEE Paulina 100% 100% 97% 74% 26% 2%
34 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
35 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
35 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
37 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
38 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
39 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
40 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
41 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
42 SHEN Lydia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
43 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
44 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
45 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 97% 64% 22% 3% -
46 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
47 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
48 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
49 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
50 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
51 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
52 FERNANDES Thea 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
53 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
54 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
55 EYER Hailey M. 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
56 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6% -
57 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 1%
58 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
59 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
60 RENTON Samantha 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
61 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
62 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 5%
63 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
64 HUANG NATALIE 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
65 LEE Bethany W. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
66 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
67 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
68 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
69 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
70 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
71 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1%
72 BOLES Sophia 100% 97% 69% 23% 3% - -
73 HALL Velma 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
74 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
75 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
76 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2%
76 LI Rachel Y. 100% 99% 85% 37% 6% -
78 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 97% 68% 27% 5% -
79 YU Seneca 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
79 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
81 YIN Helen 100% 95% 65% 23% 4% - -
82 WONG Sophia M. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
83 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
84 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 96% 60% 16% 1% - -
85 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
86 XUE Alanna L. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
87 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
88 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
89 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
90 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
91 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 17% 1% - - -
92 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
93 LOCKE Savannah 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
94 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
95 WU Irene M. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
96 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
97 PANT Anisha 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
98 BOODELL Ella 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
98 JANG Kimberley 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
100 KOROL Dana 100% 100% 92% 59% 15% 1% -
101 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
102 WANDJI Anais 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
103 YE Eileen 100% 92% 65% 30% 9% 1% -
104 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
104 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 28% 3% - - - -
106 KOSLOW Amicie 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% - -
107 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 85% 29% 4% - - -
108 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 66% 7% - - - -
109 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
110 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 93% 37% 5% - -
111 YU Lauren C. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
111 SULEIMAN Alena J. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
111 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 30% 2% - - - -
114 PENG Amber L. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
115 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
116 MEYER Claudia 100% 42% 2% - - - -
117 YANIV Liya 100% 3% - - - - -
118 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 100% 29% 3% - - -
119 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 26% 2% - - - -
120 STONE Madelyn L. 100% 5% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.