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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, May 30, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Meadowlands Exposition Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - - - 1% 14% 86%
2 LIU Jaelyn A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 SEO Irene Y. - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
3 ORVANANOS Anice - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
5 GOOR Viviene E. - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
6 NISSINOFF Alexandra - - 1% 9% 45% 45%
7 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - - - 3% 28% 68%
7 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
9 CHOW Annabelle - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
10 ZHENG Julie - - 5% 26% 52% 17%
11 WANG Jasmine - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
12 WANG Zoie Z. - - 1% 8% 35% 46% 10%
13 MI Aileen - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
14 CHO Rebecca H. - - - 6% 36% 58%
15 SHMAY Anastasia - 1% 7% 33% 43% 15% 1%
16 CASCONE Emily - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
17 CHEN Chloe I. - - 1% 14% 43% 39% 3%
17 CHEN Renee - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
19 LEE Lavender - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
20 CHANG Elizabeth - - 2% 15% 52% 31%
21 HAN Crystal - - 5% 28% 47% 20%
22 YAN Noelle - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
23 MANIKTALA Prisha - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
24 SHA Yi Ling - - 3% 17% 39% 34% 8%
25 YANG Audrey 3% 21% 40% 29% 6% -
26 CALISE Ella - 3% 19% 44% 29% 5%
27 SHENG Chuxi - - 6% 30% 45% 19% 1%
28 KUMAMOTO Shino - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
29 HAN Ashley 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
30 PAULUS Sloane 4% 23% 43% 26% 4% -
31 SHEN Emilia 1% 19% 41% 31% 8% 1%
32 YURKOVA Mariia - 1% 10% 39% 38% 11% 1%
33 YANG Emma 2% 18% 41% 32% 6% -
34 MCSHERRY Ava 1% 17% 40% 32% 9% 1%
35 FENG Grace 14% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
36 ZELDIN Nadia 2% 23% 50% 21% 3% - -
37 DAVIS Logan - 1% 11% 41% 37% 10% -
38 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
39 HUBERT Ava Claire 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
40 CHOW Tessa 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
41 SHIM Grace 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
42 PEVZNER Nicole 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
42 SIROTA Francis 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
44 BROWN Lola 12% 40% 38% 9% 1% - -
45 REN Kayley 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
46 LAI Sophia 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
47 HO Addison 1% 22% 42% 28% 6% -
48 ZHOU Sophia 8% 34% 42% 15% 2% -
49 WANG Jolie Z. 13% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
50 KAPRAN Anastasia 5% 24% 41% 25% 4% -
51 BADLANI Diya 30% 44% 22% 4% - -
52 WANG Sunny 16% 44% 32% 7% 1% -
53 YU Jane 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
54 MCSHERRY Emma 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% -
55 GAO Anne 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
56 SINGH Arsh 32% 46% 20% 3% - - -
57 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
58 LI Han 19% 47% 30% 5% - - -
59 MCFARLANE Asha 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
60 HAN Mia 17% 54% 26% 3% - - -
61 WANG Carol 32% 46% 20% 3% - -
62 WANG Sabrina 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
63 SHENG Katherine 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
64 LI Eleanor 80% 18% 1% - - -
65 JIN Amie 60% 34% 5% - - - -
66 SOLOMIE Sabina 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.