Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 30, 2021 at 3:30 PM

Meadowlands Exposition Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
2 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
3 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
5 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 DEPEW Spencer 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
7 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
8 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
9 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
10 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
11 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
12 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
13 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 8%
14 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
15 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
16 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
17 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
18 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
19 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
20 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
21 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
22 KILGALLEN William 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
23 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
24 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
25 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
26 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
27 POSY Daniel 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
28 WANG Oscar 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
29 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
30 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
31 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 5%
32 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
33 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
34 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
35 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
36 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
37 YAN William 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
38 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
39 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
40 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
41 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
42 TANG Charles 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
43 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
44 ZHOU Grant 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
45 PANDEY Neil 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
46 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
47 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
48 LEE Justin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
49 LAU Justin Y. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
50 UH Daniel 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
51 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
52 ALTIRS Giorgio 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
53 GONG Jerry 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
54 STERN Tobias 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
55 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
56 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
57 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
58 BERA Enzo 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
59 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
60 KANG Evan 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
61 ALAVE Kyle 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
62 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 2%
63 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
64 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 99% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
65 PERRON Robert 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
66 GOLD Carter 100% 85% 42% 9% 1% - -
67 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
68 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
69 CHANG Leo 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% - -
69 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
71 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
72 LEONARD Charles 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
73 LAUB William 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
74 ENGEL Peter 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
75 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
76 OH Aster 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
77 CHENG Cody 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
78 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
79 WONG Caleb W. 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
80 ONG Chinli 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
81 HUROWITZ Max 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
82 LIN Philip T. 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
83 CHEN Alex 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
84 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
84 LEE Ashe 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
86 WANG Max 100% 77% 32% 6% - - -
87 MEYTIN Maxwell S. 100% 23% 2% - - - -
88 HO Nathaniel 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
89 SIMATOS Luka D. 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
90 LIGH Checed 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
91 MILLER Felix 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
92 MENDOZA Diwa 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
93 LASKOW Oliver 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
93 LEUNG Ian 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
95 LIU Kevin 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
96 MENDOZA Luca 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
97 GREER Emmett 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
97 GUTTENPLAN Yann 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.