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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Star Cup RYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 2:30 PM

Beaver Country Day School - Arts and Athletic Center - Chestnut Hill, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LU Elaine - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 MAKLIN Sofia - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 4% 23% 46% 27%
3 MYAT Chloe - 4% 18% 39% 34% 5%
5 KNOBEL Sophia 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
6 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
7 MUND Ruth 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
8 NAGORNAYA Uliana - 4% 19% 41% 31% 5%
9 LAGOON Miriam 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
10 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
11 DONG Angel - 4% 24% 46% 26%
12 CHIANG Melissa 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
13 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 1% 9% 29% 40% 19% 2%
14 SRINATH Lyra A. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
15 MALEK Zolie 2% 16% 43% 32% 7%
16 FREEMAN Armine 3% 17% 38% 33% 9% -
17 KHOST Maeve 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
18 KONNIKOV Esther E. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
19 MAGITSKY Leila 5% 28% 41% 22% 4% -
20 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
21 LAURI Keira 26% 48% 22% 4% -
22 NEUMAN Ella 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
23 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
24 ATTIA Jasmine 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% -
25 MARGULIAN Maria 4% 22% 37% 28% 9% 1%
26 HORVITZ Jacqueline 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
27 CHAVAN Arya 38% 46% 14% 2% -
28 AKULA Roszlynn 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
29 GAMEZ Jennifer 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.