Thanksgiving Throwdown

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 20, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LE Tan 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
2 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 73% 27% 2%
3 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1%
5 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
6 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
7 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
8 KOKE Kristen 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
9 MORRIS Luke 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 6%
10 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
11 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
12 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
14 MOELLER Virginia 100% 95% 67% 21% 2% - -
15 BAILEY Julia S. 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
16 BIELEWICZ Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
17 BASU Sidhartha 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
18 TREADWAY Ella 100% 84% 35% 5% - - -
19 MEYER Sarah 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
19 ALLEN Lily 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.